Texas homebuilders foresee crunch

Storm’s ruin to raise cost of materials, worsen labor shortage

Freddy Cruz frames a house last week in Fort Worth in northern Texas, where homebuilders are expecting hurricane recovery efforts to prolong an existing labor shortage.
Freddy Cruz frames a house last week in Fort Worth in northern Texas, where homebuilders are expecting hurricane recovery efforts to prolong an existing labor shortage.

FORT WORTH -- People planning to build homes in Texas need to be prepared to pay more and wait longer for them to be completed, industry experts said.

Hurricane Harvey, which devastated Houston and Beaumont with floodwaters, is expected to swamp homebuilders throughout the state as well, including in north Texas, where a lingering labor shortage and rising lumber prices already had new-home prices creeping up.

Now, with months of reconstruction work just starting along the Gulf Coast, it may take even longer for new homes in the metropolitan area to go up, experts said.

"There is a labor shortage all around and generally Harvey did not help," said Scott Jacobsen, purchasing manager at Riverside Homebuilders, which builds communities in Fort Worth and Dallas. While his company has contracts in place to keep prices fixed for supplies like lumber, Jacobsen said he wouldn't be surprised to see overall material prices increase.

The time it takes to build a home had already increased to between six and eight months from about four in past housing cycles, said Ted Wilson, principal with Residential Strategies, a Dallas research firm that tracks the housing industry.

The situation had improved slightly over the summer, but now "everybody is a little concerned that the hurricane is adding to a situation that was starting to improve," Wilson said.

With thousands of flood-damaged homes in need of repair, some initially feared that laborers would flock to the Gulf Coast region for steady work. While that may be the case for construction workers from outside Texas who were already looking to relocate for work, it's unlikely that those building homes in north Texas will head south.

"The market is just as strong up there in your neck of the woods where labor rates are pretty good and work is steady," said Jim Gaines, chief economist at the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University in College Station.

Currently, Fort Worth has only a two-month supply of housing, much narrower than the average of six months considered a balanced market. In Fort Worth, new homes are selling for a median price of $285,806, according to a report from the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M.

Village Homes, which builds homes in Fort Worth, said it currently takes six to seven months to complete a home and doesn't anticipate losing workers to hurricane recovery projects.

"We work with a loyal set of guys that hopefully see the value of repeat business over time and won't go chasing short-term business down in Houston," company President Michael Dike said.

Dike said it will probably take a few months for insurance adjusters to assess the damage from Hurricane Harvey before the bulk of reconstruction work is performed. So he expects any materials shortages to emerge later this year.

"I'm concerned about spikes for Sheetrock and other materials that are already tight," Dike said.

The price of framing lumber has jumped almost 20 percent in the past year, according to the National Association of Homebuilders. Builders started 31,049 homes in north Texas during the past 12 months.

But that number could have been higher if builders had a larger pool of construction workers and more available land.

"It is still a challenge to get a house built," Wilson said. "Instead of 10 guys to frame your house, you get four."

Business on 09/29/2017

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