Tiffany shares, forecast lose luster after slow holiday sales

A pedestrian walks past a Tiffany & Co. store on Canton Road in the Tsim Sha Tsui area of Hong Kong, China, on Wednesday, Oct. 15, 2014. Hong Kong police said they would investigate a complaint alleging excessive use of force against a pro-democracy protester, after they used pepper spray and batons to retake a key road in seeking an end to an almost three-week occupation of parts of the city. Photographer: Brent Lewin/Bloomberg
A pedestrian walks past a Tiffany & Co. store on Canton Road in the Tsim Sha Tsui area of Hong Kong, China, on Wednesday, Oct. 15, 2014. Hong Kong police said they would investigate a complaint alleging excessive use of force against a pro-democracy protester, after they used pepper spray and batons to retake a key road in seeking an end to an almost three-week occupation of parts of the city. Photographer: Brent Lewin/Bloomberg

Tiffany & Co. shares fell the most in more than three years Monday after a sluggish Christmas season spurred the luxury jewelry chain to cut its annual forecast.

Sales in November and December declined 1 percent to $1.02 billion worldwide, the New York-based company said in a statement. Currency fluctuations and a continued slump in Japan took a toll on the results, along with a surprise slowdown in its home market.

Tiffany had been counting on the Americas to help offset weaker results overseas, especially in Japan. That approach faltered over the holidays, when sales in its home region fell 1 percent to $544 million, compared with an increase of 6 percent a year earlier. A stronger dollar, meanwhile, ate into international sales, turning 9 percent growth in Europe into a 1 percent gain when converted into U.S. currency.

"Tiffany's holiday season was softer than we had anticipated," Laura Champine, a New York-based analyst at Canaccord Genuity Inc., said in a note to clients. "The Americas segment appears to have run out of steam."

The shares fell $14.44, or 14 percent, to close Monday at $89.01 in New York. The stock had advanced 15 percent in 2014, its second straight year of gains.

The Christmas decline compared with a 4 percent increase a year earlier.

"Clearly, sales for the holiday period were disappointing," Chief Executive Officer Michael Kowalski said in Monday's statement. "Sales in the Americas declined slightly after a very strong start to the year."

Currency challenges will continue to weigh on results, Tiffany said. The retailer now expects earnings for the year ending Jan. 31 to be $4.15 to $4.20 a share, compared with an earlier forecast of $4.20 to $4.30.

"While we are still in our planning process, we believe these factors will likely result in our planning low- to mid- single-digit sales and earnings growth in 2015," Kowalski said.

The results also underscore Japan's dimming status as a luxury market. The country's sales in U.S. dollars declined 16 percent to $113 million. The rest of the Asia-Pacific region fared better, growing 7 percent to $210 million on that basis.

Of Tiffany's almost 300 company-operated stores, 123 are in the Americas, 73 in the Asia-Pacific region, 56 in Japan and 38 in Europe. The company added 10 stores in 2014, including one in Russia.

The domestic weakness was unexpected, Ike Boruchow, a New York-based analyst at Sterne Agee & Leach Inc., said in a note to clients.

"Tiffany reported underwhelming holiday comparable sales," he said. "Performance by region was quite varied."

Business on 01/13/2015

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