Rick Lee's Oaklawn Picks and Analysis

LEE'S LOCK Got Even in the third

BEST BET Touch of Disney in the seventh

LONG SHOT K J's Nobility in the fourth

SUNDAY'S RESULTS 3-9 (33.3 percent)

MEET 26-90 (28.9 percent)

CONFIDENCE RATINGS * * * * confident choice * * * plenty to like * * things to like *educated guess

1 Purse $27,000, 1 mile, 3-year-olds and up who have never won three races, claiming $16,000

***MONASTRELL ran down a stronger field just two races back at Woodbine, and he has consistently earned the field's fastest Beyer figures. He represents winning connections. CARMELO rallied to second at this level in his 2019 debut, and he benefits from a race over the track. FULKERSON finished third at this claiming price at Churchill. He receives a positive rider change and drew an advantageous two-turn post.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

8 Monastrell Cohen McKnight 2-1

9 Carmelo Eramia Broberg 5-2

1 Fulkerson Cabrera Matthews 8-1

6 One Thirty Nine Santana Ortiz 6-1

5 Gotta Curlin Bridgmohan Duncan 15-1

7 Tapitor Vazquez Pitts 9-2

4 Dangerfield Thompson Chleborad 15-1

3 Hard Work FDe La Cruz Haran 20-1

2 B Dubya Sanjur Puhl 20-1

2 Purse $24,000, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds and up, Arkansas-bred, maiden claiming $16,000

**JAPEDO has not raced since March, but he showed some ability competing against slightly better. He appears to be training better than he did up to his 2018 debut. PHILLY BOY is another who has been on the sidelines for 11 months, but he was beaten only a neck in one of his two sprint races last winter. He also shows an encouraging work tab. HESLUCK rallied from far back in a fourth-place debut performance last Thursday. He is taking a slight drop and is likely to improve with the experience.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

4 Japedo McMahon Johnson 3-1

10 Philly Boy WDe La Cruz Hornsby 5-1

13 Hesluck Cruz Roberts 6-1

6 Back Road Outlaw Vazquez Cates 4-1

3 Altimus Roman Gladd 20-1

1 P C Suspect Canchari Martin 8-1

8 Risky Boy Wethey Young 8-1

14 Too Hamazing Quinonez Pish 9-2

2 Vans Flying Cowboy Riquelme Garcia 12-1

5 Crafty Ike Eramia Jackson 6-1

7 I Got Brahms Lara Compton 12-1

12 Summersweet Road Richard Dobric 20-1

9 Little Tiny Court Fires 20-1

11 Lil Tom Tom Fuentes Hall 30-1

3 Purse $24,000, 1 1/16 miles, 4-year-olds and up, claiming $10,000

****GOT EVEN brings a two-race winning streak into this race. He is the controlling speed and defeated second-level allowance runners last spring at Oaklawn. KEEN GIZMO is an older class horse who is dropping to the lowest price of his career for a sharp stable. He is the late-running half of a powerful entry with the top selection. FUSAICHI FLAME finished his Remington meeting with two good races, and he has been working well since arriving at Oaklawn.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

1a Got Even Cohen Diodoro 5-2

1 Keen Gizmo Cohen McKnight 5-2

8 Fusaichi Flame Rodriguez Caldwell 4-1

2x Capital Letters WDe La Cruz Quartarolo 6-1

3 Due to His Charm Santana Ortiz 3-1

5 Touch 'Em Up McMahon Broberg 9-2

6 Bahnke FDe La Cruz Haran 15-1

2 Solar Maximus Cabrera Quartarolo 6-1

4 Star Dog Morales Van Berg 8-1

7 Light Bound Bid Eramia Loy 15-1

4 Purse $86,000, 6 furlongs, 4-year-olds and up, Arkansas-bred, allowance

**K J'S NOBILITY raced evenly when overmatched in a second-level allowance Jan. 27, but the three-time winner at Oaklawn is dropping into restricted company. He is a consistent finisher in a field loaded with early speed. J.E.'S HANDMEDOWN was unbeaten in three sprint races last season at Oaklawn, including a restricted stake. He sports sharp workouts and keeps regular rider Ramon Vazquez. HOONANI ROAD was a perfect 3 of 3 last season at Oaklawn, including a victory in the Rainbow. He is another with swift works leading to his return.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

3 K J's Nobility Cabrera Mullins 5-1

5 J.E.'s Handmedown Vazquez Altamirano 4-1

7 Hoonani Road Hill Catalano 3-1

1 Weast Hill Santana Stuart 9-2

2 Glacken's Ghost Canchari Robertson 5-1

6 Racer Court Fires 5-1

4 Mallard's Bro Harr Cates 12-1

8 Suspect a Storm Eramia Martin 20-1

5 Purse $27,000, 1 mile, fillies and mares, 3-year-olds and up who have never won two races, claiming $20,000

**ESSIE'S REWARD was beaten 5 lengths after a slow start in a deceptive return to the races, and she is dropping in class and figures to be tracking a contentious pace. SUMMER LOVIN possesses route speed, and the Karl Broberg trainee is dropping in price and drew an improved post. MIMI'S RUBY BOBBY contested the pace in a fifth-place Oaklawn debut. She keeps the leading rider and is another moving from an outside post position.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

5 Essie's Reward Court Prather 7-2

7 Summer Lovin Eramia Broberg 4-1

4 Mimi's Ruby Bobby Santana Leonard 3-1

1 Fabulous Girl FDe La Cruz Martin 6-1

11 Absolute Love WDe La Cruz Contreras 6-1

10 Happy's Reflection Canchari Hiles 10-1

3 Royal Raja Wethey Young 15-1

9 Factress Fuentes Moquett 12-1

6 Banner Wave Thompson Derryberry 20-1

2 American Royal Lara Morse 20-1

8 Klassie Connect Morales Hiles 30-1

6 Purse $85,000, 1 mile, 4-year-olds and up, allowance optional claiming

***COOL ARROW won a fast allowance race after a similar layoff last winter at Fair Grounds. The front-runner has a string of bullet workouts for a stable that has a high win percentage with horses returning from a layoff. WHERE'S THE WIDGET is taking a slight class jump after a game win at Woodbine. The classy veteran was claimed by a sharp stable and is a major player if he transitions from synthetic to dirt. CHRIS AND DAVE earned big Beyer figures at Belmont and Saratoga last season. He has route speed and is dropping in class after a disappointing 2019 debut.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

2 Cool Arrow Santana Sharp 3-1

4 Where's the Widget Cohen McKnight 5-2

6 Chris and Dave Mojica Diodoro 7-2

7 Malibu Pro Loveberry Robertson 12-1

1 Greeley and Ben Borel Thomas 6-1

3 Cowboy Rhythm Elliott Diodoro 8-1

1a Best of Greeley Borel Thomas 6-1

5 Cowboy Creed McMahon Litfin 6-1

8 Cosmologist WDe La Cruz Martin 20-1

7 Purse $31,000, 6 furlongs, 4-year-olds and up, claiming $16,000

***TOUCH OF DISNEY was a pair of photo-finish losses from having won his last five races at Woodbine. He is dropping after a third-place finish and figures to rebound. WILD CARAMELO is a consistent front-runner with competitive Beyer figures, and he may improve for new trainer Karl Broberg. CANDYROCK is one-half of a good-looking entry for winning trainer Ingrid Mason.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

9 Touch of Disney Morales McKnight 3-1

7 Wild Caramelo Cohen Broberg 5-1

1 Candyrock Bridgmohan Mason 6-1

1a Greeleys Spirit Lara Mason 6-1

10 Yes I See Valdivia Kordenbrock 10-1

11 Forze Mau Cabrera Hartman 12-1

6 On the Lam Elliott Williamson 6-1

4 Tre Lee Divine Bisono Morse 12-1

5 Sidavi Sanjur Matthews 15-1

8 Northern Trail Vazquez Villafranco 5-1

3 Reflector McMahon Broberg 15-1

2 Mr Wild Kitty Thompson Oliver 20-1

8 Purse $85,000, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 4-year-olds and up, allowance optional claiming

***TREBLE won a pair of allowance races last season at Oaklawn before finishing second in the Grade III Winning Colors at Churchill. Her string of swift breezes suggests she is ready to produce another top effort. SHANGHAI TARIFF has won three of her six races at Oaklawn Park. She is very quick and benefits from a sharp recent race over the track. MALIBU PRINCESS has not raced in 15 months, but she showed speed and talent in New York. She makes her return for new trainer Steve Asmussen.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

1 Treble Cabrera Moquett 2-1

2 Shanghai Tariff FDe La Cruz DiVito 5-2

7 Malibu Princess Santana Asmussen 5-1

3 Alex's Bourbon McMahon Broberg 9-2

5 Time and Chance Mojica Diodoro 6-1

6 Tough Irma Birzer Chleborad 12-1

4 She Takes Heart WDe La Cruz Quartarolo 12-1

9 Purse $43,000, 6 furlongs, fillies, 3-year-olds, maiden claiming $50,000

***WRINKLED ROSE contested the pace in a second-place career debut at Fair Grounds, and trainer Al Stall Jr. has won with three of his last five maiden-claiming runners at Oaklawn. WINGS OF FURY crossed the wire 1 length behind the top selection in New Orleans, and a strong subsequent work suggests an improved effort is coming. TIZ A SHARPIE rallied to third in a career debut at LRC, and she is making her 3-year-old debut for new trainer Steve Asmussen.

PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER ODDS

12 Wrinkled Rose Morales Stall 7-2

6 Wings of Fury Bravo Stidham 5-1

5 Tiz a Sharpie Santana Asmussen 9-2

10 Hawt Mess Sunjur Puhl 6-1

11 Ragatagtag Bridgmohan Mason 8-1

1 Alena Marie McMahon Holthus 10-1

4 She's Got It All Cabrera Lukas 12-1

7 Social Circle Thompson Sims 10-1

3 Gift Wrapped Lara Mullins 15-1

9 Gold Zephyr Mojica Moquett 12-1

8 Northern Dynasty Hill Caster 20-1

2 More Moet Pleez Borel Pitts 15-1

EXOTIC POSSIBILITIES

K J’S NOBILITY does not have a talent edge in the fourth, but the pace should set him up for a big chance and makes him a horse to key in trifecta wagers. The sixth race starts a 50-cent Pick-4, and the sixth is a two- or three-horse race. The seventh race appears to be a two-horse race, and the eighth can be covered well by using three runners. The ninth has two strong shippers from Fair Grounds, and a few others can be used for those looking for a big price.

Sports on 02/14/2019

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