Rick Lee's Oaklawn Picks and Analysis

FRIDAY'S RESULTS 3-9 (33.3 percent)

MEET 43-144 (29.9 percent)

LEE'S LOCK Blueridge Traveler in the ninth

BEST BET Abbaa in the sixth

LONG SHOT Misdeed in the first

*educated guess

**things to like

***plenty to like

****confident choice

1 Purse $20,000, 1 1/8 miles, 4-year-olds and up, claiming $6,250

**MISDEED won seven races while competing at Turf Paradise and Canterbury in 2017, and he is dropping to a proper class level after a flat effort in his local debut. YEOWZER is dropping to the lowest price of his career for winning trainer Karl Broberg, and he is bred to run well at extended route distances. TIZNOW R J was forwardly placed in a third-place finish at this level, which earned the field's fastest last race Beyer figure.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

2 Misdeed;Canchari;Silva;12-1

4 Yeowzer;Eramia;Broberg;3-1

6 Tiznow R J;Morales;Garcia;3-1

10 Dynabeaver;Cabrera;Martin;6-1

8 My Curby;Felix;Swearingen;4-1

7 Flummox;Thompson;Morse;6-1

1 Mojo Street;Gazader;Matthews;15-1

5 Moon Over Cuzco;Court;Milligan;20-1

9 Northeast Bound;Rodriguez;Vance;15-1

3 Dowlingfourtyeight;Sanjur;Shorter;20-1

2 Purse $23,000, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds and up, Arkansas-bred, maiden claiming $20,000

**PICKING ROSES finished fifth in a stronger maiden-allowance field when making his debut at Louisiana Downs, and a similar effort may prove good enough to defeat state-bred maiden-claimers. ZACK RIDGE ROAD made a sustained rally to second in his first race in state-bred company, and the late-runner has produced two good subsequent breezes. VESTED CREEK has four in-the-money finishes at Oaklawn, and he possesses good early speed and likely needed his last race after a long layoff.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

6 Picking Roses;Morales;Shumake;8-1

9 Zack Ridge Road;Quinonez;Von Hemel;7-2

1 Vested Creek;Canchari;Witt;5-1

13 Yoo Hoo's Rocket;Santana;Robertson;3-1

11 Quietly Cuba;Thompson;Martin;6-1

2 Ava's Parker;Cohen;Compton;9-2

12 Arkrebel;Vazquez;Cates;8-1

10 Rickey Lee;Loveberry;Hornsby;8-1

4 Hoonani Road;Hill;Catalano;12-1

8 Blu Blaze;Pompell;Swearingen;15-1

3 Reverend Don;Court;Petalino;15-1

7 Cornstalker;Goncalves;Martin;20-1

14 Bandit Point;Wethey;Cline;15-1

5 What's in the Box;Laviolette;Smith;30-1

3 Purse $20,000, 1 1/16 miles, 4-year-olds and up, claiming $8,000

**MOON GATE WARRIOR won only one race in 2017, but he was consistently competitive while competing at a higher claiming price. He should be in an ideal spot stalking an expected fast and contested pace. MIZZ WIZZ set the pace before quickly drawing off to a 7-length victory Jan. 21. The front-runner loves Oaklawn and can handle a small jump in class. TRANSFORMATIVE finished a troubled fourth behind Mizz Wizz, and he is another who will benefit from a contentious pace.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

8 Moon Gate Warrior;Loveberry;Howard;8-1

6 Mizz Wizz;Sanjur;Contreras;5-2

1 Transformative;Eramia;Broberg;6-1

4 Get That Box;Laviolette;Smith;7-2

3 Spider's Alibi;Vazquez;Villafranco;8-1

1a Runningunninrascal;Eramia;Broberg;6-1

5 Silver Spun;Santana;Caldwell;12-1

2 Seismic Force;Thompson;Ackerman;8-1

7 Aplomb;Wethey;Young;12-1

9 Matuszak;Canchari;Hall;15-1

10 Sugar Buzz;Cohen;Matthews;20-1

4 Purse $76,000, 6 furlongs, fillies and mares, 4-year-olds and up, allowance

***HONOR WAY raced well while earning strong Beyer figures in New York and Florida last season, and she ships from Fair Grounds for high percentage connections. TREBLE had to overcome a poor start in a fast-closing third-place return to the races. She has tactical speed and a license to show marked improvement. MISS COCO finished second in her last three sprint races at Remington, and trainer Steve Asmussen spots them where they can win.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

6 Honor Way;Hill;Amoss;5-2

2 Treble;Cohen;Moquett;3-1

3 Miss Coco;Santana;Asmussen;5-1

5 La Key;Cabrera;Stuart;6-1

1a Little Miss Amy;Sanjur;Contreras;8-1

7 Smart Emma;Eramia;Peitz;10-1

9 Angelo's Ashes;Contreras;Morse;8-1

1 Hidenseek Sally;Sanjur;Contreras;8-1

8 Star Quest;Canchari;Williamson;12-1

4 G P's Girl;Prescott;Manley;20-1

5 Purse $38,000, 6 furlongs, 3-year-olds, maiden claiming $50,000

**POP CULTURE lost a clear lead inside the final furlong in a photo finish defeat at Churchill, and a series of 5-furlong works should have him ready to win. BAYSIDER finished third as a post-time favorite in his debut in May, and he sports good works and figures stronger and faster as a 3-year-old. SHANNON C weakened late after contesting a fast pace in his career debut. He benefits from the experience and drew a favorable post for a sprinter with speed.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

6 Pop Culture;Santana;Asmussen;3-1

5 Baysider;St Julien;Anderson;8-1

9 Shannon C;Wethey;Young;9-2

2 Drastic;Cohen;Moquett;9-2

8 El Mas Puro;Stevens;Lukas;5-1

10 Kansas City Zip;Roman;Williamson;20-1

1 Florida Boys;Canchari;Morse;8-1

7 Allthewrongreasons;Albarado;McPeek;6-1

4 Gi Gi's Wildcat;Cabrera;Stuart;15-1

3 Ravens Reflection;Felix;Swearingen;20-1

6 Purse $40,000, 6 furlongs, 4-year-olds and up, claiming $30,000

**ABBAA won three consecutive races last season at Oaklawn, and the class dropper may have been too close to a rapid pace when tiring late in his seasonal debut. BLACK BEAR is a multiple stake-winning sprinter who is dropping to the lowest level of his career. He possesses good early speed and switches to a leading rider. CHEBURASHKA brings a good record for winning connections from Woodbine, and he is adding blinkers.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

7 Abbaa;Cabrera;Ortiz;5-1

5 Black Bear;Santana;Morse;9-2

1 Cheburashka;De La Cruz;McKnight;5-2

2 Bad Student;Thompson;Vance;7-2

6 Lunar Light;Vazquez;Villafranco;10-1

8 Ender;McMahon;Caldwell;10-1

3 Never Give In;Prescott;Puhl;15-1

9 Jazzy Times;Morales;Hobby;12-1

4 Briar's Gold;Pompell;Haran;12-1

7 Purse $77,000, 1 1/16 miles, fillies and mares, 4-year-olds and up, allowance optional claiming

***SOMEDAY SOON is Grade I-placed at the distance, and she is back at two turns after a useful sprint tune-up. IMPASSE won a pair of allowance races last season at Oaklawn. She finished fourth in the recent Pippin, which she needed after vacation time. HIGH FASHION DIVA had a five-race winning streak snapped when ninth best in a $100k stake at Remington, but she is back at a proper level and drew a favorable post.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

5 Someday Soon;Thompson;2-1

6 Impasse;Stevens;Lukas;5-2

1 High Fashion Diva;Vazquez;Broberg;7-2

2 It's the Truth;Santana;Cox;8-1

3 She'sagraciouslady;McMahon;Caldwell;10-1

4 Holiday's Angel;Hill;Milligan;15-1

9 Titanium;Cohen;Moquett;15-1

7 Mo's M V P;Sanjur;Campbell;12-1

8 Princess Drossie;De La Cruz;Sims;15-1

8 The Martha Washington. Purse $125,000, fillies, 3-year-olds

***RED RUBY convincingly defeated maiden-allowance rivals in her two-turn debut at Churchill, and she was flattered when the third-place finisher (Mia d' Oro) came back with a big win Jan. 14 at Oaklawn. She is a half-sister to $660,000 route earner Mo Tom. COSMIC BURST is perfect in three route races, including a $100,000 stake victory at Remington. TYFOSHA scored an impressive maiden sprint victory, and the Doug O'Neill trainee is the likely pace-setter and is bred to run this far.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

3 Red Ruby;Albarado;Gorder;9-2

5 Cosmic Burst;Eramia;Von Hemel;9-5

6 Tyfosha;Canchari;O'Neill;2-1

2 Sassy Sienna;Stevens;Cox;5-2

1 Secret Passion;Maldonado;Gelner;12-1

4 Grats Road;Gazader;Vance;30-1

9 Purse $76,000, 1 1/16 miles, 4-year-olds and up, allowance

***BLUERIDGE TRAVELER was disqualified after defeating a quality allowance field at Keeneland, and he drew an improved post on the heels of a local third-place finish. CHRIS AND DAVE has used his speed to advantage in four consecutive in-the-money dirt finishes, and he did finish one position in front of the top selection Jan. 20. SEVIER finished his Churchill campaign with consecutive conditioned-claiming victories, and subsequent breezes are sharp. The Brad Cox trainee figures on or near the lead throughout.

PP HORSE;JOCKEY;TRAINER;ODDS

4 Blueridge Traveler;Hill;McPeek;5-2

2 Chris and Dave;Loveberry;Diodoro;7-2

5 Sevier;De La Cruz;Cox;3-1

1 Gettysburg;Santana;Asmussen;6-1

10 Gray Sky;Stevens;Lukas;10-1

8 Sabrena's Bling;Court;Jackson;12-1

7 Gizmo Jones;Contreras;McKnight;12-1

6 Bronze Age;Cabrera;Moquett;15-1

9 Totality;Cohen;Moquett;20-1

3 Farley;Garcia;O'Neill;20-1

EXOTIC POSSIBILITIES

• Misdeed and Yeowzer are big threats in the first half of the early double, and the second race has the look of a three-horse race. Horse-for-course Abbaa looks like an overlay, and putting him on top of three exactas may prove a winning play.

Sports on 02/10/2018

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