Target scales back 2014 forecast

Canada losses, hacking fallout cut profits, retailer says

Customers shop for back-to-school supplies at a Target Corp. store in Colma, Calif., on Aug. 9. Target said Wednesday it earned $234 million in the quarter ended Aug. 2.
Customers shop for back-to-school supplies at a Target Corp. store in Colma, Calif., on Aug. 9. Target said Wednesday it earned $234 million in the quarter ended Aug. 2.

Target Corp. has reduced its financial outlook twice since Brian Cornell was named chief executive officer three weeks ago. Now the company's new leader has to show he can clear that lower bar.

After Target announced Cornell's hiring July 31, the Minneapolis-based company said Aug. 5 that its second-quarter profit would fall short of its goals and then trimmed its annual forecast Wednesday, signaling that a turnaround isn't coming as soon as analysts had predicted.

Target is still suffering from stagnant U.S. sales growth, a money-losing foray into Canada and the fallout of a hacker attack last year. Cornell, who started the job last week, has vowed to bring a sense of urgency back to the company. As he sets about fixing the mess, the CEO will have the benefit of diminished expectations, said Brian Yarbrough, an analyst at Edward Jones & Co. in St. Louis.

"This is definitely worse than we had anticipated," Yarbrough said. With a lower hurdle to success, the company has "the opportunity to beat and exceed."

Target now expects full-year earnings of $3.10 to $3.30 a share, excluding some items, down from a previous forecast of as much as $3.90, according to a statement Wednesday. Analysts had predicted $3.44, the average estimate compiled by Bloomberg.

Through the gloom, Target pointed to bright spots in its second-quarter report Wednesday. The company saw U.S. same-store sales begin to rebound in July, and the sales continued to improve in August during early back-to-school shopping, Chief Financial Officer John Mulligan said.

Target said it earned $234 million, or 37 cents per share, in the quarter that ended Aug. 2, compared with earnings of $611 million, or 95 cents per share, a year earlier.

Revenue rose 1.7 percent to $17.4 billion, slightly above the $17.38 billion estimate from FactSet. Revenue at stores open at least a year was unchanged from a year ago.

"Consumers continue to act very cautiously," Mulligan, who served as interim CEO before Cornell was hired, said on a conference call with reporters. The heavy promotions and the hesitant nature of consumers were two reasons behind the company's reduced outlook for the year, he said.

The prospect of rebounding sales brought solace to investors after the stock fell 6.4 percent this year through Tuesday, compared with a 7.2 percent gain for the Standard & Poor's 500 index. The shares climbed $1.08, or 1.8 percent, to close Wednesday at $60.33.

Target's woes had led to the ouster of former CEO Gregg Steinhafel in May. That cleared the way to hire Cornell, a PepsiCo Inc. executive, as Target's first outsider CEO.

One of Cornell's priorities is fixing the company's troubled foray into Canada last year. While comparable-store sales were unchanged in the U.S. last quarter, they decreased 11 percent in Canada. Target blamed the drop on the fact that the locations had grand-opening events in 2013, generating traffic that was hard to match this year. The Canadian business also lost $204 million before interest and taxes in the period, compared with a $169 million deficit a year earlier.

Canadians, who for years shopped at Target just over the border in the U.S., have been unimpressed by its expansion into the country. They found prices at the local stores were higher, while the retailer failed to keep enough merchandise in stock. Target, which hired a new leader to run the operation, said this month that it will begin matching rivals' prices and improving its supply chain in a bid to change that impression.

Cornell, 55, said Wednesday that he visited Canada in his first week on the job. He also has been consulting with Target's management on its strategic direction in the three months since Steinhafel left.

"We have to have a sense of urgency here and a sense of pace," Cornell said on a conference call. "While I want to study the business and certainly listen and learn from our team, no one is happy with our current performance."

Target also reported $148 million in breach-related expenses in the quarter, including money set aside to cover existing and potential claims related to the data theft. Those expenses were partly reduced by $38 million in insurance.

Hackers struck the company last year during the height of the Christmas shopping season, tarnishing its reputation and hampering sales.

Information for this article was contributed by Anne D'Innocenzio of The Associated Press.

Business on 08/21/2014

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