Gloom keeps grip on consumers

Despite gas dip, confidence slips again

In this June 19, 2012,photo, a shopper is reflected in a microwave oven on display on a showroom floor at Lowe's store in Atlanta.  Consumer confidence fell in June for the fourth month in a row as lingering worries about the economy outweighed relief at the gas pump, according to a private research group. (AP Photo/David Goldman)
In this June 19, 2012,photo, a shopper is reflected in a microwave oven on display on a showroom floor at Lowe's store in Atlanta. Consumer confidence fell in June for the fourth month in a row as lingering worries about the economy outweighed relief at the gas pump, according to a private research group. (AP Photo/David Goldman)

— Americans can’t seem to shake their uneasy feeling about the economy.

Consumer confidence fell in June for the fourth-straight month as worries about the economy outweighed relief at the gas pump, according to a private research group.

The Conference Board said Tuesday that its Consumer Confidence Index is at 62. That’s down from the 64.4 reading in May and the 63.2 analysts were expecting. The index remains well below the 90 reading that indicates a healthy economy - a level it hasn’t been near since the recession began in December 2007. But it’s far from the all time low of 25.3 reached in February 2009.

The indicator is widely watched because consumer spending, including major items like health care, accounts for 70 percent of U.S. economic activity. The index illustrates that Americans are worried about hiring, the stock market and a worsening European economy that some fear will hurt the U.S.

“Consumers were somewhat more positive about current conditions, but slightly more pessimistic about the short-term outlook,” said Lynn Franco, director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board in a statement. “If this trend continues, spending may be restrained in the short term.”

Worries about job and income growth seemed to weigh the heaviest on consumers in the index survey, which is based on a poll conducted June 1-14 with about 500 randomly selected people nationwide.

Those stating jobs are “hardto get” increased to 41.5 percent from 40.9 percent, while those expecting more jobs in the months ahead declined to 14.1 percent from 15.4 percent. Meanwhile, the proportion of consumers expecting an increase in their incomes declined to 14.8 percent from 15.7 percent.

Consumers’ dwindling confidence follows a sharp slowdown in hiring in April and May. Meanwhile, a measure of the number of people applying for unemployment benefits over the past month has reached a six-month high, the government said last week. That increase suggests that layoffs are rising and June could be another lackluster month for hiring.

A widely watched homeprice index, released Tuesday,offered some hope for the housing market. Home prices rose in nearly all major U.S. cities in April, according to The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller home-price index. That’s the second-straight month prices have increased in a majority of U.S. cities.

Shoppers also are getting some relief at the gas pump. Gas prices have falling from their peak in early April. The national average gasoline price was $3.397 per gallon Tuesday, according to auto club AAA, Wright Express and the Oil Price Information Service. In Arkansas, the average price Tuesday was $3.168. And experts say gas could fall another 11 cents by the Fourth of July.

Several companies, from restaurants to home-goods sellers, have recently said customers are pulling back on spending unless they are lured into stores by big discounts.

Bed Bath and Beyond lastweek forecast lower secondquarter earnings than analysts expected and said it needed to use more coupons to get people to spend.

And Darden Restaurants Inc., which operates Olive Garden and Red Lobster, expects earnings short of Wall Street expectations, and said customers were turned off by the $1 increase for Red Lobster’s “Festival of Shrimp.”

Given growing uncertainty about the economy, Michael Niemira, chief economist at the International Council of Shopping Centers, on Tuesday trimmed his sales forecast by 0.5 percentage point for June.

He now expects revenue at stores opened at least a year to be up 3 to 3.5 percent. That follows a 4 percent rise in May. The figures exclude drugstores. The metric is considered a key indicator of a retailer’s health because it excludes stores that open or close during the year.

Business, Pages 25 on 06/27/2012

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