Uncertainty is the only certainty for 500 drivers

— The fans will stand in silence, three fingers raised toward the sky, on the third lap of the Daytona 500 in honor of the late Dale Earnhardt.

The tribute to mark the 10-year anniversary of Earnhardt’s fatal accident is the only certainty going into today’s season-opening race. Everything from the style of racing, the dominant drivers and what it will take to win NASCAR’s biggest race of the season remained a mystery after one of the more eventful Speedweeks in recent history.

Then again, the drivers have accepted that nothing ever goes as planned leading into the Great American Race.

“Speedweeks always seems to have a scenario that pops up, and you have to adjust to it,” said Kevin Harvick, the 2007 Daytona 500 winner.

The latest dilemma is a radically new style of tandem racing that has dominated the three events leading into the 500. Drivers figured out that hooking up in two-car packs is the fastest way around the freshly-paved Daytona International Speedway. Michael Waltrip topped out at 206 mph in the first race of Speedweeks, sending NASCAR scrambling to slow down the cars.

A smaller restrictor plate issued midweek brought the speeds back under control, but NASCAR has yet to break apart the two-car packs that are apparently the new norm. A series of technical changes have limited how long the cars can stay hooked in pairs before their engines begin to overheat, but the drivers have mastered a leapfrogging system that allows them to simply swap positions and resume the two-car push.

Establishing partners and figuring out whom to trust became the most important goal of every on-track session. Kurt Busch seemed to master the new style fastest, parlaying it into victories in both the exhibition Budweiser Shootout and the first qualifying race, while others learned valuable lessons.

“There weren’t any single people left; they were all married,” Greg Biffle said of becoming separated from teammate Carl Edwards in his qualifying race. “I was kind of left out on that island. The rose ceremony ended quickly for me.”

The drivers seem to like the new racing, but fans aren’t sold, frustrated that the white-knuckle pack racing they love will be absent from today’s race. How big of a concern is it? Clint Bowyer said he fell asleep on his couch while watching the first of Thursday’s twin 150-mile qualifying races.

The competitors insist today will be unpredictable, in part because there has yet to be an event with all 43 cars on the track.

“I still don’t think we know exactly what’s going to happen,” Harvick said. “We know the two-car stuff is going to work, but we haven’t been out there with the whole pack. So there’s still some unknowns.”

That includes what kind of day it will be for Dale Earnhardt Jr., who was scheduled to start from the pole . But NASCAR’s most popular driver wrecked his car during a Wednesday practice session and switching to a backup means he’ll go to the back of the field when the green flag falls.

Starting his fourth season with Hendrick Motorsports, Earnhardt came to Daytona with his third crew chief in three years and hopes that a fresh voice in his ear can snap a 93-car winless streak.

Earnhardt Jr. is respectful of the anniversary, but eager to get the attention on racing.

“I’m here to race. I understand the situation, and I’m looking forward to seeing how my father’s remembered and honored,” he said. “I just want to focus on my job, what I need to do every single corner, every single lap, what’s best for me at this moment, what gets me closer to Victory Lane on Sunday.

“That’s all I’m going to concern myself with.”

Sports, Pages 27 on 02/20/2011

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