MARKET REPORT: Mixed news leaves stocks stable

— Stocks ended the next-to-last day of 2009 little-changed as welcome news on manufacturing helped offset a drop in commodities prices.

The market drew support Wednesday from a key economic indicator that signaled growth in Midwest manufacturing for a third-straight month. The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index rose to 60 in December from 56.1 in November. The report found that production and new orders increased and employment improved.

A rising dollar and light volume held the market’s gains in check. A gain in the dollar makes commodities, and thus the shares of companies that produce commodities, less attractive to foreign buyers. It also hurts the profits of companies that do business overseas.

Some investors have been buying the dollar in recent weeks on the belief that the economy is improving and the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in the next year. That buying interest comes after a months-long slide in the greenback.

Rock-bottom interest rates have encouraged investors this year to move out of cash and into riskier assets such as stocks and commodities that have the potential to earn bigger returns. While a rise in interest rates would be a sign that the economy is on the right track, it could hurt the stock market’s advance.

After a 24.7 percent rise in the benchmark Standard & Poor’s 500 index this year, many investors have closed their books and are making few moves ahead of the start of 2010. Trading has been quiet with fewer players in the market, though light volume can also bring volatility.

“We’ve seen oil up and down, the dollar up and down, the market up and down,” said Frank Ingarra, co-portfolio manager at Hennessy Funds. “I don’t think we’ll see a major move one way or the other.”

The Dow Jones industrial average ticked up 3.10, or less than 0.1 percent, to 10,548.51, its highest close since Oct. 1, 2008. The Dow traded in a 45-point range, its sixth-straight day of moving fewer than 70 points. The last time the Dow held such a tight range for that period was November 1996.

With one trading day left in the year, the Dow is up 61.1 percent from the 12-year low it reached in March, but is still down 25.5 percent from its peak of 14,164.53 in October 2007.

The S&P 500 index edged up 0.22, or less than 0.1 percent, to 1,126.42, while theNasdaq composite index rose 2.88, or 0.1 percent, to 2,291.28.

The ICE Futures U.S. dollar index, which measures the dollar against other major currencies, rose 0.1 percent. Gold and other metals fell. Light, sweet crude added 41 cents to settle at $79.28 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Bond prices mostly rose after an auction of seven-year notes. In total, the Treasury auctioned $118 billion in debt for the week. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.79 percent from 3.80 percent. Interest rates on many consumer loans track the yield on the 10-year Treasury.

Falling stocks narrowly outpaced those that rose on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 2.37 billion shares.

Business, Pages 24 on 12/31/2009

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